Senin, 30 Maret 2026

Ethereum’s No. 2 spot is under threat


Risk-off returns: crypto ETPs and spot ETFs see renewed outflows	͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏	View in browser

March 30, 2026

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Today's top stories

📈 Polymarket odds of ETH slipping from second place jump from 17% to 59%+
📊 Spot Bitcoin ETFs break four-week inflow streak; spot Ether ETFs post second week of outflows
🔒 Ethereum Foundation speeds up 70,000 ETH staking plan after BitMine OTC sale
📉 Bitcoin models flag $40K–$50K as possible cycle bottom

Ethereum risks losing No. 2 spot as stablecoins gain ground

Polymarket traders are increasingly betting that Ether could lose its No. 2 crypto market-cap spot in 2026, with odds jumping from 17% to over 59% as stablecoins—especially Tether's USDT—grow rapidly. Over the past five years, ETH's market-cap growth has lagged far behind USDT and even USDC, a gap widened by risk-off macro conditions that have pressured ETH prices and contributed to a steep drop in US spot Ethereum ETF assets. Meanwhile, the stablecoin market has surged to about $310 billion as investors park "dry powder" in dollar-pegged assets, and technical signals suggest ETH could face further downside if current bearish patterns persist.

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Crypto funds see first outflow in 5 weeks amid inflation fears, Iran tensions

Crypto investment products posted their first weekly outflows in five weeks, with $414 million pulled as investors turned risk-off amid inflation worries, shifting Fed expectations from rate cuts to possible hikes, and rising Middle East tensions. Total assets under management fell to $129 billion, back near early-February levels. Ether led the retreat with $222 million in outflows (deepening its YTD net loss), while Bitcoin saw $194 million in outflows but remains positive for the year; XRP was a rare gainer with $15.8 million in inflows. The risk-off move also hit ETFs, as spot Bitcoin ETFs ended a four-week inflow streak with $296 million in outflows and spot Ether ETFs lost another $206.6 million.

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Ethereum Foundation accelerates 70,000 ETH staking plan after BitMine sale

The Ethereum Foundation accelerated its plan to stake up to 70,000 ETH by depositing 22,517 ETH (about $46.2 million) across 11 transactions into the Beacon Deposit Contract, bringing its total staked to roughly 24,564 ETH since it began staking in February. The move follows an OTC sale of 5,000 ETH to BitMine Immersion Technologies for about $10.2 million, with proceeds earmarked for core operations, research, ecosystem growth and grants. The shift toward staking aims to generate yield and reduce reliance on periodic ETH sales, even as Ether's price weakens and analysts warn of potential further downside.

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MARKET UPDATE

Bitcoin price models point to $40K–$50K as potential BTC bottom

Bitcoin rebounded to around $67,000, but analysts say the move hasn't broken the broader bear-market trend. With $69,000–$70,000 now acting as resistance and sentiment still in "extreme fear," several traders argue the market is skewed toward further downside unless BTC can reclaim levels above $71,000.

Onchain and technical models suggest a lower potential bottom, with short-term holder cost basis and realized-price bands moving down and implying a floor near $50,000 or below—around $46,000 in some estimates. Other indicators, including realized price vs. CVDD and historical Fibonacci retracements, point to a wider downside zone, with some calling for a final cycle low around $39,000–$41,000.